(Keith’s opinion is from my previous post.)
I know that 11 countries have already been contacted. I also don’t really have a lot of time at the moment, because, well, it IS morning and we’re running late.
But in short – 11 countries have already been contacted. However, we do not know that they have not doctored their data before handing it over, and we do not know that they handed everything over. In other words, we can think what we want, and we can ask who we want, but not necessarily will we get straight, honest answers.
If our theory in the previous post is right (and I certainly pray that we are wrong, but it sounds too straight-up logical to be our invention) then the terrorists (official pilots possibly included) need a place to land – both to refuel (and possibly refurbish/repaint) and to load the weapon. Also, there has to be a way to get the weapon to the plane, if the plane isn’t brought to the weapon. The evidence indicates that plane diverted significantly off course intentionally, and there are few, if any, reasons for such an action without a prior flight plan. That would further indicate that the terrorists landed the plane, which encourages us to consider possible sympathetic landing fields and countries for an interim destination.
Yitzchak looked at the map, examined the arcs, and announced last night that the plane had quite possibly landed in Sudan or Iran. Sudan is lawless enough – and its government is pro-extremist enough – that they will happily help such a plot. A civilian-labeled flight from Iran to Sudan can easily give them the ability to import the materials they need (not a hijacking; just a civilian plane). Hiding the plane in a regular hangar, or other facility is not difficult if one is working with governmental aid. And the arc presented is really only one part of a larger circle of distance from the satellite. In other words, there is a large circle to be explored, and we are exploring only part of it – the part that is thought to be the most likely part. However, there is no reason to believe that the plane stayed in that arc – because it’s no the shortest distance to anywhere – and Sudan is part of the other side of the circle, the side that isn’t being considered or explored. Why isn’t it being explored? Put simply, because no one wants to think about the consequences of that option.
Again, we’re not on the case, we’re not experts, and this is just a theory. But, it’s a theory that no one seems to be suggesting, but that has dire consequences if it turns out to be true. So, we are writing it on the internet, putting the suggestion out there, because chances are that the plane has already landed and theories will stay theories – what hasn’t happened already won’t happen right now. It might, G-d forbid, happen to another flight, but flight 370 is where it is, and we have only to find it before it’s too late. And therefore, we are writing this, in hope that some involved government trolling the subject will see these posts and take the suggestion seriously.
Here’s another, very, very, scary option, that Yitzchak brought up. One that I don’t want to write because I don’t want to give anyone ideas, but because it’s so dangerous, I think governments should know. This plane has an identity – flight 370. If it flies again, it will be spotted. However, you can’t fly into someone’s airspace without an identity. So, hijack another plane, get them to the same spot but at different altitudes. Down the second plane goes and up the first plane goes, assuming the second’s identity and explaining the few minutes’ absences as a radar blip. The first plane – that was originally flight 370 – continues to wherever the second plane was going (or to wherever they want, maybe), and is allowed into the airspace as a civilian plane that was expected, except that instead of landing passengers they drop a bomb, hopefully (but not likely) not a nuclear one. Or, in other words, all civilian planes are suspect.
And a few notes:
– The fact that the Iranians had clean records is obvious. Al Qaeda has learned their lesson and takes pains to ensure that their hijackers and jihadists used for important projects have clean records.
– Al Qaeda isn’t the smartest terror organization. They can only really cause harm if the world is stupider than they are, which, obviously, has already happened a few times. However, on the whole, anyone with some intelligence who is willing to look at the facts can easily uncover their schemes and defeat them – so don’t be scared, just don’t be stupid.
Sometimes I love being married to such a smart guy. And sometimes I really wish for innocence, and wish I was married to someone a little less sharp than Yitzchak.
I’ll say it bluntly: This hijacking – and that’s what both of us knew it was from pretty much the beginning – has scared both of us. At first, before all the details started coming out, I was scared because such a sudden, unexplained malfunction is really, truly, scary. All I hoped was that we would find that little black box that would tell us everything we needed to know.
Then we started seeing the route that it took, what the radar (which had been our first question) had shown, and other information (or lack thereof). And we started being scared because this is just really, really, bad news. We usually fly El Al, simply because I feel like only Israelis know what they are doing security-wise. But Yitzchak’s family is either a plane ride or a long car trip away from the nearest El Al flight. And between his family and mine is either a 2-day car trip or a three hour plane ride; because it’s not connecting to Israel, El Al doesn’t cover it. So yes, we still have reason to be freaked out over flying.
Right now, though, flying isn’t the scariest part of this whole saga. The scariest part is this:
There is a Boeing777 at large, in the hands of terrorists. It’s true that in order to refuel on their way to America, they will [probably] have to out themselves. But if they didn’t use up all the fuel that they had, then they still have enough for an hour or two, or possibly more – enough to reach Europe, and yes, Israel. And now, apparently, we know that they flew low to avoid primary radar detection. I’ll leave you to figure out what that means. (I will say, though, that with this bit of information we can probably find the plane pretty soon; we just have to analyze the AWAC data, which we have but rarely use.)
Yitzchak, of course, being the brilliant worrier that he is, wanted to look something up. I guessed, correctly, that he wanted to look at the 777 information on Wikipedia. He looked at its holding capacity, at its weight capacity for takeoff and landing. Then he typed “Ivy Mike” into the search box. I didn’t know what Ive Mike was, so I was confused. Until, that is, the page loaded. One glance at the picture of the mushroom cloud adorning the page and I had my answer. Ivy Mike is some kind of nuke. It weighs 85 tons, and is therefore basically undeliverable unless you have a jumbo jet. The 777 can carry up to 150 tons.
What I’m wondering now is what happened to the people on the plane. Are they dead, shot like the Nazis killed people, one by one, and buried in a pit? Are they being sold on the black market as slaves? Will they be released quietly, one by one? Will they be released on condition that they give up their passports? On condition that they never talk about what they saw? Are they being starved? Indoctrinated?
I’d like to remind everyone that the nations who we’re talking about – Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iran, Iraq, Kazakhstan, etc. – are not known for their appreciation or respect of human rights, or their straightforwardness and honesty. They are also not known for their adherence to the Geneva Conventions, so if war breaks out – well, you can just imagine what these prisoners will suffer, if they’re even alive. And I wouldn’t put it past these dogs to kill them point-blank.
Israel, meanwhile, is stepping up its air security. They’re not telling us much, but one thing that we do know is that Israeli air space is going to be more protected and anyone entering it will have to identify themselves earlier on. Because this is a civilian plane, it can obviously identify itself as such and claim to be carrying civilians; I therefore assume – and feel safe assuming, since we’re speaking about smart Jewish Israelis and not a stupid European or American government (in all fairness, Israeli/Jewish intelligence comes in large part from being persecuted for millenia*) – that there will be much more coordination so that only flights who take off bound for Israel will be allowed in. In other words – you didn’t tell us when you took off from your specific airport at a specific time – down you go, high enough up and far enough out that it won’t hurt any of our citizens.
Yes, Israel will shoot down a plane. Especially if it is suspected of carrying chemical weapons or nukes.
Yes, I believe Israel is alert enough to catch it in time.
No, I do not believe any other country is.
Of course, the United States will realize too slow, too late, and then will try to solve the world’s problems. Please – solve your own problems first and give Israel a free hand to do as we please. That’s the best help you can give us – unconditional support and backing to do what we believe we need to do. 9/11, the predecessor to this hijacking, was engineered by the same people as this one – Al Qaeda, and run by Khalid Sheik Mohammed.
Just like then, the world is not prepared.
Just like then, people are in denial that it is possible.
And just like then, the terrorists have a head start.
The first thing I thought when I saw the news and that it wasn’t an obvious mechanical problem was that it was being used for a 9/11 type attack; my only question was why they only took one plane.
Right now they only have one plane. It could be that that’s all they need. And it could be that they are doing this one by one, and all future flights (except El Al :)) are in danger.
In the meantime, it pays to be wary.
And it pays to be aware.
Semi-nuclear Iran + hijacked planes + terrorists + an unaware world = stuff that no one wants to think about but that needs to be dealt with – and FAST.
*Intelligence – both the regular kind and the military kind. Comes from being persecuted – both because we learned from our mistakes and are extremely wary and because of the law of “survival of the fittest”.